The long-awaited and delayed media recount of the
2000 elections, conducted by the University of Chicago's National
Opinion Research Center, was finally announced on Nov. 11. Anyone
reading the newspapers and watching the media must have concluded
that George W. Bush won after all, and anyone who disagrees is guilty
of sour grapes.
The truth is the recount clearly establishes that Al Gore would
have been president if the Supreme Court had allowed the recount.
As the Associated Press noted, "In the review of all the state's
disputed ballots, Gore edged ahead under all six scenarios for counting
all undervotes and overvotes statewide." These were the only possible
scenarios permitted under the US Supreme Court's ruling in Bush
v. Gore.
Yet the headlines of the major papers on Nov. 12 almost universally
declared Bush the "real" winner: "Bush Still Had Votes to Win in
a Recount, Study Finds" (Los Angeles Times); "Study of Disputed
Florida Ballots Finds Justices Did Not Cast the Deciding Vote" (New
York Times); "In Election Review, Bush Wins Without Supreme Court
Help" (Wall Street Journal); "Florida Recounts Would Have Favored
Bush" (Washington Post).
Some media organizations decided to play it both ways: "Bush Won
Recounts" and "Statewide recount might have made Gore a winner,"
noted the Palm Beach Post in two different stories on Nov. 12, while
the AP declared "Vote Review: Bush Would Have Won Fla." and "Florida
Review Shows Narrowest Margin."
"Still too close to call," reported the Chicago Tribune, reflecting
the paper's reluctance to call any close election ever since Dewey
defeated Truman.
Only a few alternative media outlets announced Gore's victory correctly,
such as National Public Radio and progressive media websites and
magazines.
Among large newspapers, the Chicago Sun-Times (in a story relegated
to page 3) may have come the closest to the truth: "Gore could have
won with statewide recount" was the title of the report. However,
the subhead said, "But review shows narrower strategy still favor
Bush." The story went on to declare: "George W. Bush would have
narrowly prevailed in the partial recounts sought by Al Gore, but
Gore might have reversed the outcome by the barest of margins
had he pursued and gained a complete statewide recount."
What the story neglected was that Gore never needed to "pursue
and gain" a statewide recount: all he needed was for the US Supreme
Court to allow the constitutionally required recount to proceed.
The fact that Al Gore stupidly did not pursue a statewide recount
or one including overvotes has absolutely no legal relevance. The
US Supreme Court, not Al Gore or the media, decided how a recount
must be conducted. Voters, not Al Gore, have the constitutional
right of equal protection in Florida, and the fact that the recount
might proceed in violation of that right was the justification for
the ruling.
In Bush v. Gore, the US Supreme Court made two rulings: one decision,
by a 7-2 vote, overturned the partial recount ordered by the Florida
Supreme Court in accord with Florida law. The US Supreme Court gave
three reasons why this recount violated the constitutional demands
for equal protection: It failed to include overvotes; it failed
to recount votes in every county; it failed to follow a consistent
standard. It would have been easy to make a constitutional recount
that, we now know, would have given Florida to Gore.
However, the US Supreme Court's second decision in Bush v. Gore
prevented this. The Court stopped any recount because it claimed,
in a 5-4 ruling, that Dec. 12 was the final deadline for a certified
result (because after that date, the result could be challenged
in Congress).
However, the Republican-appointed majority on the Supreme Court
was simply imagining a deadline without any statutory or legal authority.
Nothing in Florida election law holds that Dec. 12 was the deadline
for declaring a final result. Dec. 18, when electors met to vote,
was the real deadline, and it was even possible to have two sets
of electors and declare the correct one later in the month.
The media presented the recount of votes as it were a butterfly
ballot buffet, and the inept Gore team simply chose the worst entrée.
But in reality, there was only one constitutional way to count the
ballots: recount all the ballots (including both overvotes and undervotes)
in all the counties according to a consistent standard. According
to this standard, Gore won.
There was plenty of time to set consistent standards for the recount
and complete the process. Could Al Gore have won the presidency
in that case? Absolutely yes.
If the Florida electors remained in dispute after Dec. 12, Florida
would send a contested slate of electors' votes to Congress. In
a party-line vote, the Republican House and the Senate (which, because
of the Nader voters who elected Maria Cantwell to a narrow victory
in Washington, was split 50-50, with Vice President Gore casting
a tie-breaking vote) would disagree.
Then under Title 3 of federal law, Section 1.15, the decision on
contested electors in Florida would go to the slate certified by
the governor of the state: Jeb Bush. However, the governor doesn't
get to pick anybody he wants. Under Florida law, the governor must
certify the winner determined by the election process, as decided
by the Florida courts. Unless someone decided to violate the Consti-tution,
Gore would have won.